Impacts of anthropogenic environmental change on southern rockhopper penguin demography and behaviour

Project overview

Environmental variability plays a crucial role in shaping the foraging behaviour and demography of seabird populations, with significant implications for species conservation. In recent decades, southern rockhopper penguins (Eudyptes chrysocome) have experienced dramatic declines in the Falkland Islands, with mass mortality events thought to be linked to changes in sea temperatures and prey availability. As environmental fluctuations are expected to intensify due to climate change, the Falkland Islands—home to a major portion of the global population—offer a critical opportunity to study how this iconic predator responds to environmental change.

My research will explore how environmental variability affects both the foraging behaviour and population dynamics of southern rockhopper penguins across multiple colonies in the Falklands. By utilising over 10 years of archival data alongside new fieldwork, I aim to investigate these dynamics using biologging techniques (e.g., GPS and time-depth recorders) to track at-sea behaviour. To further understand foraging preferences and potential changes in prey availability over time, I will employ stable isotope analyses, DNA metabarcoding, and regurgitate studies. Additionally, I will assess and compare key demographic parameters, such as breeding success and population size, to evaluate how environmental shifts impact the overall population survival.

Understanding the relative importance of various environmental drivers, and how they interact, is crucial for predicting species responses at both individual and population levels. Ultimately, my research will contribute to broader marine spatial planning and inform ecosystem-based management strategies in the Falkland Islands, aiding in the conservation of this vulnerable species.

Project Objectives

• Foraging behaviour – Combine previously collected data and deploy GPS and TDR tags on breeding southern rockhopper penguins at colonies across the Falklands to identify foraging locations and dive behaviours throughout the year and their differences between colonies
• Diet - Identify temporal and spatial variation in rockhopper diet through the analysis of regurgitates, stable isotopes and DNA metabarcoding
• Demography – Assess temporal and spatial changes in demography and population trends data from monitored colonies
• Modelling – Combine foraging, diet and demography data with environmental datasets in state-of-the-art statistical modelling to identify potential temporal and spatial drivers of behavioural and demographic changes
• Conservation management – Using modelling results, inform marine spatial planning for better conservation effort to help the Falkland Island population recover to its past size

Diane’s career began with an undergrad in Biology at the University Grenoble Alpes, followed by an MSc in Marine Conservation at the University of Aberdeen. After graduating, Diane worked for three years as a Marine Ecological Consultant for HiDef Aerial Surveying, where she worked on Environmental Impact Assessments (EIA) for seabirds and marine mammals in the context of offshore wind farm construction around the UK and Ireland. Throughout these three years, Diane specialised in seabird ecology, gained experience in species distribution modelling, team leading and training, as well as scientific report writing for NaturalEngland and Joint Nature Conservation Committee (JNCC), amongst others. As part of her work, Diane also successfully participated in multiple fieldwork seasons in the Shetland Islands, surveying seabird colonies. She has now returned to the University of Aberdeen for her PhD, where she will be studying one of her favourite seabird species group, penguins.

You can find more information about her work and research on her blog: https://dianepavat.wixsite.com/marinebiology